Freitag, 7. Oktober 2016

Who is most likely to vote for Trump?

Hello again,

I know that this blog isn't supposed to be a political one but I'm really into this topic right now because it's all what Americans talk about. Yesterday I wondered which groups or types of people are most likely to vote for Trump because most people at my High School hate him and would definitively vote for Clinton. I did some research again and want to share my results with you.

The website people-press.org gives an informative overview of the different groups voting for Trump.
Most striking is that more men tend to vote for Trump than women and the other way round. Furthermore, there is a big contrast in races: 45% of white people support Trump (33% support Clinton), only 2% of black people (85% support Clinton) and only 26% of Hispanics (50% support Clinton).
However, in Pennsylvania there are only about 10% black people and 3,2% Hispanics ( 85,4% whites).

There are also some differences in age: the older the people, the higher the probability that they vote for Trump. There are only 27% of people between 18 and 29 voting for him but there are 47% of the people older than 65 who favour him. According to demographic statistics 15,6% of the population in Pennsylvania is 65 and older.

Another point is education ( well, some may deny it because they feel offended,but it's a fact).
For example, a person with just a high school graduation or less tends more to be a Trump voter ( 42% ) than a person who completed a postgraduate degree ( 21%).

Moreover the religious group plays are role; a white evengelian protestant is more likely to vote for the "red" side (63%) than an unaffiliated person (19%).

And of course it's important whether they are pro-Republican-Party or pro-Democratic-Party in general.

Here is the matching source to my findings: http://www.people-press.org/2016/08/18/1-voters-general-election-preferences/ (based on foundings from PEW RESEARCH CENTER )

Have a nice day!

Megan