recently I did some research on the internet about the upcoming elections since I was a little curious about the possible solution that's why I created my own prediction. I considered many different possible influences like sex, race, demography, rural/urban differences, history, etc. and finally came to the conclusion that the majority of the people in Pennsylvania are going to vote for Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party.
My explanation is the following: In the second half of the 20th century Pennsylvania was a swing state, but since 1992 they tend to be a Democratic state with rather Democratic urban areas such like Philadelphia und rather Republic rural areas in the center of Pennsylvania. On the map I've showed you in my last entry, it is striking that there were more red coloured counties, but they count less compared to the others. One example: In 2008 McCain won 48 counties and Obama only 19 counties, but he won because he won the most populous counties ( Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes).
The website Real Clear Politics has a graph which shows the daily tendencies who is the current favourite in Pennsylvania. According to this graph it is a close run with Clinton in the lead since March. It shows that Clinton and Trump have differences in the percentage going from +0.5% to + 9.4% for Clinton. The latest update is from October the 26th 2016 and says that Clinton is in the lead with a percentage difference of +4.3%.
I think Clinton is Pennsylvania's favourite candidate because she has a tolerant position to same sex relationships and to immigrants ( she wants to find a solution) whereas Trump preferably wants to deport all illegal immigrants back to their original country and he is strictly against gay and lesbian marriages, but is against discrimination against them.
Moreover, Clinton wants to protect the environment with renewable energies, Trump, however, thinks that climate change is a natural process and wants to ignore it more or less.
Another point it that Clinton wants education and tuition to be free for poor families, she wants to continue Obamacare and she wants a woman to decide about abortion on her own.
All these aspects make Clinton more interesting for families, especially poor ones, for more modern and liberal people, for foreigners, for handicapped persons, for woman and for homosexuals.
The website Real Clear Politics has a graph which shows the daily tendencies who is the current favourite in Pennsylvania. According to this graph it is a close run with Clinton in the lead since March. It shows that Clinton and Trump have differences in the percentage going from +0.5% to + 9.4% for Clinton. The latest update is from October the 26th 2016 and says that Clinton is in the lead with a percentage difference of +4.3%.
I think Clinton is Pennsylvania's favourite candidate because she has a tolerant position to same sex relationships and to immigrants ( she wants to find a solution) whereas Trump preferably wants to deport all illegal immigrants back to their original country and he is strictly against gay and lesbian marriages, but is against discrimination against them.
Moreover, Clinton wants to protect the environment with renewable energies, Trump, however, thinks that climate change is a natural process and wants to ignore it more or less.
Another point it that Clinton wants education and tuition to be free for poor families, she wants to continue Obamacare and she wants a woman to decide about abortion on her own.
All these aspects make Clinton more interesting for families, especially poor ones, for more modern and liberal people, for foreigners, for handicapped persons, for woman and for homosexuals.
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| This caricature of Donald Trump was adapted from Creative Commons licensed images from Max Goldberg's flickr photostream ( https://www.flickr.com/photos/donkeyhotey/24564574914/ ) |
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